Approximately a half of all life-long smokers will die of smoking related diseases (1).
Smoking in young adults (3)
Reitsma et al modelled two indicators:
prevalence of current smoking tobacco use among young adults aged 15-24 years
age at which current smokers aged 20-54 years in 2019 began smoking regularly
synthesised data from 3625 nationally representative surveys on prevalence of smoking and 254 on age at initiation
Study results:
globally in 2019
an estimated 155 million (95% uncertainty interval 150-160) individuals aged 15-24 years were tobacco smokers
with a prevalence of 20.1% (19.4-20.8) among males and 4.95% (4.64-5.29) among females
estimated that:
82.6% (82.1-83.1) of current smokers initiated between ages 14 and 25 years
18.5% (17.7-19.3) of smokers began smoking regularly by age 15 years
although some countries have made substantial progress in reducing the prevalence of smoking tobacco use among young people, prevalence in 2019 still exceeds 20% among males aged 15-24 years in 120 countries and among females aged 15-24 years in 43 countries
Calculating the number of cigarettes a day (4):
References:
British Heart Foundation (Factfile 8/2001). Stopping smoking - evidence-based guidance
NHS Digital. Statistics on Smoking, England - 2019.
Reitsma MB et al. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and initiation among young people in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019. Lancet Public Health 2021 (May 27th 2021)
All Wales Medicines Strategy Group. Initial Clinical Management of Adult Smokers in Secondary Care. June 2021.
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